The cricketing world is abuzz with anticipation. The World Test Championship (WTC) Final is here, between South Africa and Australia at the legends’ venue of Lord’s Cricket Ground. The intrigue surrounding this match, however, exists solely with the possibilities of a bowlers’ paradise.
In the lead-up to the final, all the talk has been about the elite bowling line-ups of both team’s feature. South Africa will boast a spearhead of Kagiso Rabada, Marco Jansen, Keshav Maharaj, and Australia is topped by a choice of Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, and Nathan Lyon. These are big cricketing names, names that everyone respects. It is not surprising, either, because there are five of the top 10 ICC bowlers represented in the final, and the decision-makers have all been strung along about the very real possibility of a bowler’s dent paradise in the WTC final.
The battles of Rabada versus Hazlewood, Jansen versus Starc, and Maharaj versus Lyon resemble a Test match with “Bowlers-Only” appointments. Both teams have pronged attack options with pace and sleight of hand spin options available to take advantage of pitch or condition assistance.
Rabada, the second-best bowler in the world, will lead the charge for South Africa, using his speed and aggression to trouble batsmen. Hazlewood will provide almost unerring accuracy and draw comparisons to Glenn McGrath with his precision and control. Marco Jansen adds a dangerous left-arm option and bounce while Starc will add quick pace and late swing at any angle. In the spin department, the frugal and controlled bowling of Maharaj will be tested against Lyon’s expert capabilities on an English pitch.
The location of Lord’s (the famous slope and often fast surface), adds to the mystique of the match. Throughout its history, the ground has provided conducive conditions for swing bowling and seam movement, especially with Dukes balls. Unlike the Kookaburra that is utilized in Australia and South Africa, Dukes balls hold their shine longer and swing for longer, hence they are often favourable for Test match bowlers.
The biggest talking point surrounding the final is the usage of Dukes balls – the difference with seam structure and lacquer retention with Kookaburra means bowlers will generally find more swing and bounce.
Steve Smith when recently reflecting on the nature of the dukes indicated, “The ball can swing for longer… Particularly at Lord’s, you want to go with the slope and the swing. You can throw the two together. But, yeah, I enjoy playing against the Dukes.”
With Smith’s Test experience in England being 22 out of 116 Tests, he has the advantage of dealing with such conditions. Australia has a good case for recent history at Lord’s and will be looking to recreate their decisive WTC 2023 final at The Oval when they defeated India by 209 runs.
Even with the preponderance of the bowling narrative, both sides have excellent Test batters. Smith, Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Temba Bavuma and Dean Elgar all carry class and assurance. That said, the majority of the discussion remains focused on how they will fare against the opposition’s bowling artillery.
South African coach Shukri Conrad acknowledged this and said, “It’s normal to chat about bowlers when you have someone like Rabada, but there’s quiet confidence among the batting group too.”
South Africa’s batting lineup as a whole hasn’t been exposed to English conditions like the Australians have, having only played 28 Tests in England collectively, and nine at Lord’s. But they also have undoubtedly been preparing well, including a four-day match in Arundel, and have net sessions focused on specific meticulous adaptations to Dukes balls in place.
In a surprising turn of events, Stuart Broad had dinner and training with the South African team. Broad has taken 113 wickets at Lord’s, and 398 with the Dukes, so his knowledge and perspective may be invaluable to the Proteas bowling attack.
Conrad shared, “If I didn’t call time at 10:30pm, I think he’d still be sitting there chatting to us… It was enlightening.”
Broad offered bowling insights, strategy and direction, and the right mental approach to refresh and build on the damage that the South African bowlers inflicted on the English batting lineup last week.
Additionally, we must consider the weather forecast for Lord’s. Often in London, overcast and cloudy conditions will encourage more swing and seam. Early reports look for cool, cloudy conditions for the first two days of the WTC Final, thus indicating a bowlers’ paradise yet further.
The pitch at Lord’s is also not known for consistent bounce; there usually is plenty of lateral movement, particularly in the first innings, to challenge batters. So, when teams win the toss, some teams may opt to bowl first to exploit the moisture and fresh surface. However, it must also be noted that Lord’s can also flatten out on Days 3 and 4 to provide opportunities for Test batters to make runs.
As for Australia, the strategy is likely to rely on an early strike option with Starc and Hazlewood, accompanied by Lyon in the rest of the middle overs, with their hope being previous experience of success in English conditions.
South Africa will look to utilize Rabada’s aggression and Jansen’s bounce in order to unsettle the Australian top order, whilst Maharaj will opt to contain and attack when required. With less experience of Lord’s, the Proteas will need to adapt quickly and execute their plans with precision.
Traditionally, matches at Lord’s Cricket Ground with strong pace attacks yield first innings scores with averages typically between 260 and 300. From 2015, 80% of the Tests at Lord’s had bowlers take 20 wickets in the match. These averages give livematches.in’s forecast of a very bowler-dominated game much more weight.
Australia has won three of their last five Tests at Lord’s with one draw and one loss. South Africa has also won here, last being in 2012. But both teams are vastly different now.
As the WTC Final begins, all eyes will be on Lord’s to see if the pre-match rhetoric of a bowlers’ paradise is right. With Dukes balls, the English weather, and two robust all-star bowling line-ups, everything is set for a compelling, close-fought Test match.
But don’t forget about the batters either. Test cricket is a game of attrition and it can sometimes take just a fantastic, gritty century to quieten the bowlers and swing the narrative.
Get all the live match scores, ball by ball commentary, and cricket expert content at https://livematches.in/ during this contest for Test supremacy!
TEAMS | POINTS |
PBKS | 19 |
RCB | 19 |
GT | 18 |
MI | 16 |
DC | 15 |
SRH | 13 |
LSG | 12 |
KKR | 12 |
RR | 8 |
CSK | 8 |